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http://hdl.handle.net/10139/655
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| Title: | Investment Betting Algorithm |
| Authors: | Long, Jarrod |
| Keywords: | investing market analysis betting online sports wagering |
| Issue Date: | Dec-2008 |
| Abstract: | All bettors, including the ”House,” experience losing streaks and winning
streaks. The House typically has a ”bankroll” that is orders of magnitude
larger than that of any individual bettor, and so can survive losing streaks
without going bankrupt, thus remaining solvent long enough to win. Online
wagering provides a new twist to this age-old scenario. We use elementary
mathematical principles together with the idea of a virtual infinite sample
size and the elimination of time as a constraint to develop a fail-proof system
that generates the greatest possible exponential growth of capital.
Let σ (stake) be the amount you wish to invest or wager each time and
ρ (return) be your return or odds on a proposition. Let n (number) be the
sum of consecutive loosing investments or number of times you can loose on
an identical proposition before depleting a specified amount of investment
capital called β ( bankroll). The resultant equation, which I call the :
Investment Betters Algorithm (click on thesis to view)
provides the answer to remaining solvent long enough to outlast the irrationality of the simulated online ” wagers open market ” through a geometric
progression. The augmented bankroll β , calculated slightly higher than the
typical sum of the Geometric Series, can serve as a safeguard to capital ruin
by it extreme disproportion to. Consider further the expected value of even
money propositions, a virtual infinite sample size, and the elimination of
time as a constraint and you have a no fail system to generate the greatest
progressive exponential growth of capital.
Current problems associated with financial return optimization algorithms are identified and discussed. Probable solutions to those problems
are also prescribed along with improvements to diversified portfolio design. |
| URI: | http://hdl.handle.net/10139/655 |
| Appears in Collections: | Mathematics
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